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林海onrush (2024-02-29 23:59):
#paper, DOI: https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-1819548/v1 ,Chaotic Bi-LSTM and Attention HLCO Predictor Based Quantum Price Level Fuzzy Logic Trading System, 这篇论文提出了一种基于混沌双向长短期记忆网络(Bi-LSTM)和注意力机制的高低收盘价格(HLCO)预测模型,以及基于量子价格水平(QPL)的模糊逻辑交易系统。通过结合混沌理论、量子金融理论和先进的人工智能技术,该系统旨在解决传统金融指标存在的固定触发边界和延迟问题,提高交易决策的准确性和效率。实验结果表明,该模型在历史数据的回测中表现出色,证明了其在改进投资决策方面的潜力。 个人感言:这篇论文巧妙地将混沌理论和量子金融理论应用于金融市场的预测和交易决策中,展示了人工智能技术在金融领域的创新应用。通过深入分析市场数据的复杂动态,该研究不仅提高了预测的准确性,还为金融交易策略的制定提供了新的视角和方法,具有重要的理论和实际意义。
Abstract:
Abstract There are various indicators i.e. Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) , Stochastic Oscillator which have advantages in applications to determine not only market movements with … >>>
Abstract There are various indicators i.e. Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) , Stochastic Oscillator which have advantages in applications to determine not only market movements with buying and selling decisions in Computational Finance, but have significant drawbacks that discrepancies are easy to match against the best trading times due to fixed order-triggering boundaries and delay problems. For example, RSI ’s 70 and 30 overbuy and oversell are fixed boundaries. Orders can only be triggered when RSI’s value exceeds one of the boundaries. Its computation only considers past market situation prompting indicators like RSI to trigger orders with delay. In this paper, we proposed a method to reduce these problems with advanced AI technologies to generate indicators’ buy and sell signals executed in the best trading time. Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) has outstanding performance to learn time-series data automatic with long-time sequences but ordinary RNN units such as Long-Short-Term-Memory(LSTM) are unable to decipher the relationships between time units, so-called context. Hence, researchers have proposed an algorithm based on RNNs’ Attention Mechanism allowing RNNs to learn information such as chaotic attributes and Quantum properties contained in time sequences. Chaos Theory and Quantum Finance Theory (QFT) are also proposed to simulate these two features. One of the well-performed QFT models is Quantum Price Level (QPL) to simulate all possible vibration levels to locate price. The system used in this paper consists of two components - neural network and fuzzy logic. Neural networks are used to predict future data and to solve indicators lagging problem whereas fuzzy logic is used to solve fixed order-triggering boundaries problem. By combining these two core components, the proposed model has obtained remarkable results in backtesting previous data that it is possible for these methods to make better investment decisions when market changes constantly. <<<
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